Who you got? Our beat crew offers its choices for LSU’s duel against Baylor in the Texas Bowl

Texas Bowl Preview: LSU vs. Baylor – Expert Predictions and Analysis
The Texas Bowl promises an entertaining matchup between two powerful college football teams: the LSU Tigers and the Baylor Bears. As both sides prepare to compete in this high-stakes game, there is a lot of anticipation for the outcome. With LSU coming off a season of highs and lows and Baylor looking to rebound off a mixed season, this game is full with interest. To assist fans in navigating the expectations and important factors of the contest, we have compiled predictions and observations from our professional beat crew, who have closely tracked both teams throughout the season.
LSU Tigers: A Season of Highs and Lows
LSU’s football season has been one of contrast, filled with both remarkable performances and disappointing losses. The Tigers, under first-year head coach Brian Kelly, showed early promise but found themselves in several tight games, many of which ended in frustrating losses. Despite these setbacks, LSU remains a formidable team with a lot of talent and potential, especially on the offensive side of the ball.
Key to LSU’s success is their dual-threat quarterback, Jayden Daniels. The sophomore quarterback has been a revelation for the Tigers this season, displaying a unique ability to both pass and run the football with efficiency and poise. Daniels’ mobility allows him to escape pressure and make plays on the move, which has kept defenses on their toes. Additionally, his ability to make accurate throws in key situations has made him one of the top quarterbacks in the SEC.
LSU’s offense also features a solid group of playmakers. Wide receiver Malik Nabers has been a standout performer this season, consistently providing Daniels with a reliable target in both short-yardage and deep-ball situations. Meanwhile, running back Josh Williams has emerged as a reliable ball carrier who can churn out tough yards between the tackles. With these weapons in place, LSU’s offense has the potential to score quickly and in various ways, which could present problems for Baylor’s defense.
Defensively, LSU has shown flashes of excellence, particularly in their front seven. The Tigers have one of the most dynamic pass rushes in the country, led by the likes of Harold Perkins Jr. and Makai Wingo. These players can disrupt the opposing quarterback and create havoc in the backfield, making it difficult for offenses to establish a rhythm. The secondary, while solid, has been inconsistent at times, especially when tasked with defending against high-powered passing attacks. However, LSU’s defense is capable of stepping up in big moments, and their front seven could be the key to slowing down Baylor’s offense in this matchup.
Baylor Bears: A Season of Resilience and Consistency
Baylor, under head coach Dave Aranda, has faced its own set of challenges this season. The Bears started strong but have had their fair share of ups and downs, particularly in the competitive Big 12. Despite this, Baylor has remained a resilient team, with a tough, physical identity that has helped them compete in close games. As they head into the Texas Bowl, Baylor will look to build on their strengths, particularly on the defensive side of the ball.
The Baylor defense has been one of the standout units in the Big 12 this season. Known for their hard-nosed, aggressive style of play, the Bears have excelled at both stopping the run and putting pressure on the quarterback. The defensive line, anchored by Siaki Ika, has been dominant in the trenches, while linebackers like Dylan Doyle have provided leadership and stability in the middle of the defense. Additionally, Baylor’s secondary, while not as dominant as their front seven, has shown the ability to create turnovers and shut down passing attacks when needed.
On the offensive side of the ball, Baylor has been a balanced team, relying on both their passing and running games to move the ball downfield. Quarterback Blake Shapen has been solid this season, although he has not always been able to put together a consistently high-level performance. Shapen is a capable passer who can make all the necessary throws, but he has struggled with consistency at times. His ability to perform under pressure will be a key factor in Baylor’s success in this game.
Baylor’s running game has been a crucial part of their offensive strategy. Richard Reese has emerged as a standout back for the Bears, providing both power and speed as he churns out tough yards. Reese’s ability to break through tackles and gain yardage after contact will be important, especially if Baylor wants to control the tempo of the game and keep LSU’s high-powered offense off the field.
Key Matchups to Watch
Several key matchups will likely determine the outcome of this game. Here are a few of the most crucial battles that fans should keep an eye on:
1. LSU’s Offensive Line vs. Baylor’s Defensive Line:
LSU’s offensive line has had its ups and downs this season, but it will be crucial for them to perform at a high level in this game. They will face a tough test in Baylor’s defensive line, which is one of the best in the Big 12. If LSU’s offensive line can give Jayden Daniels the time and space he needs to make plays, it will open up opportunities for both the passing and running games. However, if Baylor’s defensive front can apply consistent pressure and disrupt the Tigers’ offensive flow, it could spell trouble for LSU’s offense.
2. Baylor’s Secondary vs. Jayden Daniels:
Baylor’s secondary will be tasked with defending one of the most dynamic quarterbacks in the country in Jayden Daniels. While the Bears’ secondary has been solid at times, they will need to be at their best to keep Daniels in check. If they can force him into uncomfortable situations and limit his ability to extend plays with his legs, it will go a long way toward slowing down LSU’s offense. However, if Daniels is allowed to make plays both with his arm and his feet, it could be a long day for Baylor.
3. LSU’s Front Seven vs. Baylor’s Running Game:
Baylor’s running back Richard Reese has been a key piece of the Bears’ offense, and his ability to find holes in the LSU defense will be critical to Baylor’s success. LSU’s front seven, particularly their pass rush, will need to ensure that Reese does not gain momentum early in the game. If LSU can contain the run and force Baylor to become one-dimensional, it will put more pressure on quarterback Blake Shapen to make plays in the passing game.
4. Special Teams Play:
In close games like this, special teams can often be the difference-maker. Both teams have solid kickers and returners who could change the game with a big play. Whether it’s a crucial field goal, a long return, or a key punt, special teams will play a pivotal role in this game. LSU’s Kayshon Boutte and Baylor’s special teams unit will be players to watch as they look to make an impact on the game’s momentum.
Predictions and Expert Opinions
As both teams head into the Texas Bowl, there is no clear favorite. LSU’s explosive offense, led by Jayden Daniels, will be a tough challenge for Baylor’s defense. On the other hand, Baylor’s physical play and strong defense could cause problems for LSU’s offense if they can control the line of scrimmage.
Our expert beat crew believes that LSU has the edge in this matchup due to their offensive firepower and the dynamic playmaking ability of Jayden Daniels. While Baylor’s defense will undoubtedly make things difficult for LSU at times, the Tigers’ offense is expected to make enough big plays to secure a victory. Additionally, LSU’s defense, with their ability to apply pressure on the quarterback and stop the run, should be able to limit Baylor’s offensive production.
Final Score Prediction: LSU 31, Baylor 24
This game will be hard-fought, with both teams playing for pride and aiming to end their season on a high note. Ultimately, LSU’s explosive offense and balanced defense should be enough to overcome Baylor’s physicality and consistency. The Tigers are poised to emerge victorious in this exciting clash in the Texas Bowl.